{"id":13545,"date":"2019-09-13T11:12:56","date_gmt":"2019-09-13T11:12:56","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/wordpress.utoledo.edu\/disastermedicine\/?p=13545"},"modified":"2019-09-13T11:16:08","modified_gmt":"2019-09-13T11:16:08","slug":"potential-tropical-cyclone-nine","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/wordpress.utoledo.edu\/disastermedicine\/2019\/09\/13\/potential-tropical-cyclone-nine\/","title":{"rendered":"POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE NINE"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img decoding=\"async\" id=\"coneimage\" src=\"https:\/\/www.nhc.noaa.gov\/storm_graphics\/AT09\/refresh\/AL092019_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind+png\/090003_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png\" alt=\"cone graphic\" \/><\/p>\n<p>000<br \/>\nWTNT34 KNHC 130857<br \/>\nTCPAT4<\/p>\n<p>BULLETIN<br \/>\nPotential Tropical Cyclone Nine Advisory Number\u00a0\u00a0 3<br \/>\nNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 AL092019<br \/>\n500 AM EDT Fri Sep 13 2019<\/p>\n<p>&#8230;TROPICAL DISTURBANCE MOVING NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE CENTRAL<br \/>\nBAHAMAS&#8230;<br \/>\n&#8230;TROPICAL STORM WATCH EXTENDED NORTHWARD ON THE FLORIDA<br \/>\nPENINSULA&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT&#8230;0900 UTC&#8230;INFORMATION<br \/>\n&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;-<br \/>\nLOCATION&#8230;24.6N 75.2W<br \/>\nABOUT 255 MI&#8230;410 KM ESE OF FREEPORT GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND<br \/>\nABOUT 170 MI&#8230;275 KM SE OF GREAT ABACO ISLAND<br \/>\nMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS&#8230;30 MPH&#8230;45 KM\/H<br \/>\nPRESENT MOVEMENT&#8230;NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 6 MPH&#8230;9 KM\/H<br \/>\nMINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE&#8230;1009 MB&#8230;29.80 INCHES<\/p>\n<p>WATCHES AND WARNINGS<br \/>\n&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8211;<br \/>\nCHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:<\/p>\n<p>A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued from the Volusia-Brevard<br \/>\nCounty line to the Flagler-Volusia County line.<\/p>\n<p>SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:<\/p>\n<p>A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for&#8230;<br \/>\n* Northwestern Bahamas excluding Andros Island<\/p>\n<p>A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for&#8230;<br \/>\n* Jupiter Inlet to Flagler-Volusia County line<\/p>\n<p>A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are<br \/>\nexpected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.<\/p>\n<p>A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are<br \/>\npossible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.<\/p>\n<p>Interests elsewhere along the east coast of Florida should monitor<br \/>\nthe progress of this system.\u00a0 Additional watches and warnings may<br \/>\nbe required for portions of this area later today.<\/p>\n<p>For storm information specific to your area in the United States,<br \/>\nincluding possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor<br \/>\nproducts issued by your local National Weather Service forecast<br \/>\noffice. For storm information specific to your area outside of the<br \/>\nUnited States, please monitor products issued by your national<br \/>\nmeteorological service.<\/p>\n<p>DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK<br \/>\n&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;-<br \/>\nAt 500 AM EDT (0900 UTC), the disturbance was centered near latitude<br \/>\n24.6 North, longitude 75.2 West. The system is moving toward the<br \/>\nnorthwest near 6 mph (9 km\/h), and this general motion is expected<br \/>\nto continue with some increase in forward speed through the<br \/>\nweekend.\u00a0 On the forecast track, the system is anticipated to move<br \/>\nacross the central and northwestern Bahamas today, and along or<br \/>\nover the east coast of Florida Saturday and Saturday night.<\/p>\n<p>Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km\/h) with higher gusts.<br \/>\nSome strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and the<br \/>\ndisturbance is forecast to become a tropical depression or a<br \/>\ntropical storm during the next day or so.<\/p>\n<p>Environmental conditions are favorable for a tropical depression or<br \/>\ntropical storm to form within the next day or two.<br \/>\n* Formation chance through 48 hours&#8230;high&#8230;80 percent<br \/>\n* Formation chance through 5 days&#8230;high&#8230;90 percent<\/p>\n<p>The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches).<\/p>\n<p>HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND<br \/>\n&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;-<br \/>\nWIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning<br \/>\narea in the northwestern Bahamas later today.\u00a0 Tropical storm<br \/>\nconditions are possible in the watch area on the Florida peninsula<br \/>\nby Saturday or Saturday night.<\/p>\n<p>RAINFALL: The potential tropical cyclone is expected to produce<br \/>\ntotal rainfall accumulations through Sunday:<\/p>\n<p>The Bahamas&#8230;2 to 4 inches, isolated maximum amounts 6 inches.<br \/>\nThe U.S. Southeast Coast from central Florida into South<br \/>\nCarolina&#8230;2 to 4 inches.<\/p>\n<p>STORM SURGE: This system is not expected to product significant<br \/>\nstorm surge in the northwestern Bahamas.<\/p>\n<p>NEXT ADVISORY<br \/>\n&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;-<br \/>\nNext intermediate advisory at 800 AM EDT.<br \/>\nNext complete advisory at 1100 AM EDT.<\/p>\n<p>$$<br \/>\nForecaster Beven<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>000 WTNT34 KNHC 130857 TCPAT4 BULLETIN Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine Advisory Number\u00a0\u00a0 3 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 AL092019 500 AM EDT Fri Sep 13 2019 &#8230;TROPICAL DISTURBANCE MOVING NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS&#8230; &#8230;TROPICAL STORM WATCH EXTENDED NORTHWARD ON THE FLORIDA PENINSULA&#8230; SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT&#8230;0900 UTC&#8230;INFORMATION &#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;- LOCATION&#8230;24.6N 75.2W ABOUT 255 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":51,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[31],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/wordpress.utoledo.edu\/disastermedicine\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13545"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/wordpress.utoledo.edu\/disastermedicine\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/wordpress.utoledo.edu\/disastermedicine\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wordpress.utoledo.edu\/disastermedicine\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/51"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wordpress.utoledo.edu\/disastermedicine\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=13545"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/wordpress.utoledo.edu\/disastermedicine\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13545\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":13548,"href":"https:\/\/wordpress.utoledo.edu\/disastermedicine\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13545\/revisions\/13548"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/wordpress.utoledo.edu\/disastermedicine\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=13545"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wordpress.utoledo.edu\/disastermedicine\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=13545"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wordpress.utoledo.edu\/disastermedicine\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=13545"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}