Global & Disaster Medicine

Archive for January, 2019

The Pandemic of 1918: “……since it happened once, analogous conditions could lead to an equally devastating pandemic….”

EID

Taubenberger JK, Morens DM. 1918 Influenza: the Mother of All Pandemics. Emerging Infectious Diseases. 2006;12(1):15-22. doi:10.3201/eid1201.050979.

The “Spanish” influenza pandemic of 1918–1919, which caused ≈50 million deaths worldwide, remains an ominous warning to public health. Many questions about its origins, its unusual epidemiologic features, and the basis of its pathogenicity remain unanswered. The public health implications of the pandemic therefore remain in doubt even as we now grapple with the feared emergence of a pandemic caused by H5N1 or other virus. However, new information about the 1918 virus is emerging, for example, sequencing of the entire genome from archival autopsy tissues. But, the viral genome alone is unlikely to provide answers to some critical questions. Understanding the 1918 pandemic and its implications for future pandemics requires careful experimentation and in-depth historical analysis.


CDC: 1918 Pandemic Video

This image shows the order of events leading up to the reconstruction of the 1918 virus by Dr. Terrence Tumpey within CDC’s biosecurity level 3 enhanced laboratory.

This image lists lessons learned from the study of the reconstructed 1918 virus at CDC and why it was so deadly.

1918 Flu Pandemic Commemoration


Migrants crossing the Channel and stealing French fishing boats to do it.

NYT

“……Last year, around 500 migrants — 10 times as many as in 2017 — attempted the voyage across the channel, a trip of about 20 miles at its narrowest point. More than half made it across...….”

“…..In November, 17 Iranians made off with the Epervier, taking it from the docks of Boulogne and sailing to Dover, where they were arrested.

And on a dark night just before Christmas, 14 migrants, including several children, made it seven miles off the coast on a boat stolen from the inner harbor at Boulogne, the St. Catherine, before the motor gave out…..”

 


Massive winter storm brings snow, freezing rain, power outages (200 000without power), and at least 9 deaths.

CBS


1/13/1982: an Air Florida Boeing 727 plunges into the Potomac River in Washington, D.C., killing 78 people.

HxC

“…..Two people in particular emerged as heroes during the rescue: Arland Williams and Lenny Skutnik. Known as the “sixth passenger,” Williams survived the crash, and passed lifelines on to others rather than take one for himself. He ended up being the only plane passenger to die from drowning. When one of the survivors to whom Williams had passed a lifeline was unable to hold on to it, Skutnik, who was watching the unfolding tragedy, jumped into the water and swam to rescue her…..”

  • The bridge was later renamed the Arland D. Williams Jr. Memorial Bridge.

See the source image

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6mWasoB64qI

 

 

 


The Marjory Stoneman Douglas High School Public Safety Commission criticizes the response of school staff and the Broward County Sheriff’s Office and recommends arming teachers

Parkland Stoneman Douglas Commission Report

“….The commission’s 15 members issued a unanimously approved, 439-page preliminary report Wednesday aimed at preventing similar attacks and improving the response should they occur. …..”

In memory of:

Alyssa Alhadeff          Scott Beigel                Martin Duque

Nicholas Dworet        Aaron Feis                  Jaime Guttenberg

Chris Hixon                Luke Hoyer                 Cara Loughran

Gina Montalto            Joaquin Oliver           Alaina Petty
Meadow Pollack         Helena Ramsay         Alex Schachter
Carmen Schentrup     Peter Wang


2018-2019 Influenza Season: Week 1 ending January 5, 2019

Influenza activity remains elevated in the United States. Influenza A(H1N1)pdm09, influenza A(H3N2), and influenza B viruses continue to co-circulate.

CDC estimates that as of January 5:

  • 6.2 to 7.3 million people have been sick with flu,
  • 2.9 to 3.5 million people have been to the doctor because of flu, and
  • 69,300 to 83,500 people have been hospitalized because of flu.
  • Viral Surveillance: The percentage of respiratory specimens testing positive for influenza viruses in clinical laboratories decreased slightly. Influenza A viruses have predominated in the United States since the beginning of October. Influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 viruses have predominated in most areas of the country, however influenza A(H3) viruses have predominated in the southeastern United States (HHS Region 4).
    • Virus Characterization: The majority of influenza viruses characterized antigenically and genetically are similar to the cell-grown reference viruses representing the 2018–2019 Northern Hemisphere influenza vaccine viruses.
    • Antiviral Resistance: All viruses tested show susceptibility to the neuraminidase inhibitors (oseltamivir, zanamivir, and peramivir).
  • Influenza-like Illness Surveillance:The proportion of outpatient visits for influenza-like illness (ILI) decreased from 4.0% to 3.5%, but remains above the national baseline of 2.2%. All 10 regions reported ILI at or above their region-specific baseline level.
    • ILI State Activity Indictor Map: New York City and 15 states experienced high ILI activity; 12 states experienced moderate ILI activity; the District of Columbia, Puerto Rico and eight states experienced low ILI activity; and 15 states experienced minimal ILI activity.
  • Geographic Spread of Influenza: The geographic spread of influenza in 30 states was reported as widespread; Puerto Rico and 17 states reported regional activity; two states reported local activity; the District of Columbia, the U.S. Virgin Islands and one state reported sporadic activity; and Guam did not report.
  • Influenza-associated Hospitalizations A cumulative rate of 9.1 laboratory-confirmed influenza-associated hospitalizations per 100,000 population was reported. The highest hospitalization rate is among adults 65 years and older (22.9 hospitalizations per 100,000 population).
  • Pneumonia and Influenza Mortality: The proportion of deaths attributed to pneumonia and influenza (P&I) was below the system-specific epidemic threshold in the National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS) Mortality Surveillance System.
  • Influenza-associated Pediatric Deaths: Three influenza-associated pediatric deaths were reported to CDC during week 1.

national levels of ILI and ARI

Click on graph to launch interactive tool

Click on graph to launch interactive tool2

Click on image to launch interactive tool


Paris: A gas leak had been reported in the Hubert bakery and firefighters had been on their way to deal with it when the explosion occurred and injured at least 20.

BBC

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hIZQImnbN0A


Thousands of woman are abducted and forced to marry each year in Kyrgyzstan where bride kidnappings continue, particularly in rural areas.

Thompson Reuters


Lebanon hit by Storm Norma on January 6, heavily impacted at least 360 informal refugee settlements and putting 850 others at risk.

Al Jazeera


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