Global & Disaster Medicine

Archive for July, 2019

CDC: Acute Flaccid Myelitis — United States, 2018

Lopez A, Lee A, Guo A, et al. Vital Signs: Surveillance for Acute Flaccid Myelitis — United States, 2018. MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep. ePub: 9 July 2019. DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.15585/mmwr.mm6827e1external icon

“…….Among all patients with confirmed, probable, and non-AFM, 227 (98%), 26 (100%), and 113 (98%), respectively, were hospitalized, including 127 (60%), 12 (57%), and 54 (50%), respectively, admitted to an intensive care unit; 27% (62) of those with confirmed AFM required respiratory support, 87% of whom (53/61) required mechanical ventilation. No deaths were reported during the acute illness of patients with confirmed AFM who had limb weakness onset in 2018; however, there were two reports of patients confirmed with AFM in 2018 who had died months after limb weakness onset.…..”

The figure is a histogram showing confirmed cases of acute flaccid myelitis reported to CDC (N = 559) in the United States during August 1, 2014–December 31, 2018.

The figure is a histogram showing cases of acute flaccid myelitis reported to CDC, by case classification status, in the United States during 2018.


7/11/1978: A truck carrying liquid gas crashes into a campsite, crowded with vacationers, in San Carlos de la Rapita, Spain killing more than 200 bathers.

HxC


POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TWO: Flash Flooding Risk

[Image of WPC Flash Flooding/Excessive Rainfall Outlook]


POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TWO: Possible Rainfall

[Image of WPC QPF U.S. rainfall potential]


Potential Tropical Cyclone Two Is Almost A Tropical Depression in the Northern Gulf of Mexico

000
WTNT32 KNHC 110845
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Potential Tropical Cyclone Two Advisory Number   4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL022019
400 AM CDT Thu Jul 11 2019

…DISTURBANCE IS NOT A DEPRESSION YET BUT EXPECTED TO BE ONE
SOON…
…STORM SURGE, HEAVY RAINS, AND HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE NORTH-CENTRAL GULF COAST IN A COUPLE OF DAYS…

SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT…0900 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…27.5N 88.2W
ABOUT 125 MI…200 KM SSE OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
ABOUT 235 MI…380 KM SE OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…30 MPH…45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…W OR 260 DEGREES AT 5 MPH…7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1009 MB…29.80 INCHES

cone graphic

 

[Image of probabilities of 34-kt winds]


California: Supervolcanic eruptions may be a future possibility

FOX

‘…….“The potential for damaging earthquakes, landslides, floods, tsunamis and wildfires is widely recognized in California,” another recent USGS report reads. “The same cannot be said for volcanic eruptions, even though they occur in the state about as frequently as the largest earthquakes on the San Andreas Fault.”

Of the state’s eight volcanoes, seven have been found to sit above “active” magma chambers.

Disturbingly, it finds some 200,000 people are classified as “at-risk” if an eruption was to occur. And it argues there is a 16 percent chance of such an event within the next 30 years.

Like the fault-line studies, geologists have pulled clues from California’s landscape to determine volcanic activity over the past 5,000 years.

It’s found five volcanoes – Mount Shasta, Medicine Lake, Lassen, Long Valley and Salton Buttes – have erupted during the past 3000 years. Clear Lake Volcanic Field near San Francisco – while rated as potentially of very high risk – hasn’t blown for longer…….’


WHO updates global guidance on medicines and diagnostic tests to address health challenges, prioritize highly effective therapeutics, and improve affordable access

WHO

New essential medicines and diagnostics lists published today

9 July 2019

News release
Geneva

WHO’s Essential Medicines List and List of Essential Diagnostics are core guidance documents that help countries prioritize critical health products that should be widely available and affordable throughout health systems.

Published today, the two lists focus on cancer and other global health challenges, with an emphasis on effective solutions, smart prioritization, and optimal access for patients.

“Around the world, more than 150 countries use WHO’s Essential Medicines List to guide decisions about which medicines represent the best value for money, based on evidence and health impact,” said WHO Director-General Dr Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus. “The inclusion in this list of some of the newest and most advanced cancer drugs is a strong statement that everyone deserves access to these life-saving medicines, not just those who can afford them.”

The Essential Medicines List (2019)

Cancer treatments: While several new cancer treatments have been marketed in recent years, only a few deliver sufficient therapeutic benefits to be considered essential. The five cancer therapies WHO added to the new Medicines List are regarded as the best in terms of survival rates to treat melanoma, lung, blood and prostate cancers.

For example, two recently developed immunotherapies (nivolumab and pembrolizumab) have delivered up to 50% survival rates for advanced melanoma, a cancer that until recently was incurable.

Antibiotics: The Essential Medicines Committee strengthened advice on antibiotic use by updating the AWARE categories, which indicate which antibiotics to use for the most common and serious infections to achieve better treatment outcomes and reduce the risk of antimicrobial resistance.  The committee recommended that three new antibiotics for the treatment of multi-drug resistant infections be added as essential.

Other updates to the medicines list include:

  • New oral anticoagulants to prevent stroke as an alternative to warfarin for atrial fibrillation and treatment of deep vein thrombosis. These are particularly advantageous for low-income countries as, unlike warfarin, they do not require regular monitoring;
  • Biologics and their respective biosimilars for chronic inflammatory conditions such as rheumatoid arthritis and inflammatory bowel diseases;
  • Heat-stable carbetocin for the prevention of postpartum haemorrhage. This new formulation has similar effects to oxytocin, the current standard therapy, but offers advantages for tropical countries as it does not require refrigeration;

Not all submissions to the EML Committee are included in the list. For example, medicines for multiple sclerosis submitted for inclusion were not listed. The Committee noted that some relevant therapeutic options currently marketed in many countries were not included in the submissions; it will welcome a revised application with all relevant available options. The EML Committee also did not recommend including methylphenidate, a medicine for attention deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD), as the committee found uncertainties in the estimates of benefit.

The List of Essential (in vitro) Diagnostics

The first List of Essential Diagnostics was published in 2018, concentrating on a limited number of priority diseases – HIV, malaria, tuberculosis, and hepatitis. This year’s list has expanded to include more noncommunicable and communicable diseases.

Cancers: Given how critical it is to secure an early cancer diagnosis (70% of cancer deaths occur in low- and middle-income countries largely because most patients are diagnosed too late), WHO added 12 tests to the Diagnostics List to detect a wide range of solid tumours such as colorectal, liver, cervical, prostate, breast and germ cell cancers, as well as leukemia and lymphomas. To support appropriate cancer diagnosis, a new section covering anatomical pathology testing was added; this service must be made available in specialized laboratories.

Infectious diseases: The list focuses on additional infectious diseases prevalent in low- and middle-income countries such as cholera, and neglected diseases like leishmaniasis, schistosomiasis, dengue, and zika.

In addition, a new section for influenza testing was added for community health settings where no laboratories are available.

General test: The list was also expanded to include additional general tests which address a range of different diseases and conditions, such as iron tests (for anemia), and tests to diagnose thyroid malfunction and sickle cell (an inherited form of anemia very widely present in Sub-Saharan Africa).

Another notable update is a new section specific to tests intended for screening of blood donations.  This is part of a WHO-wide strategy to make blood transfusions safer.

“The List of Essential Diagnostics was introduced in 2018 to guide the supply of tests and improve treatment outcomes,” said Mariângela Simão, WHO Assistant Director-General for Medicines and Health Products. “As countries move towards universal health coverage and medicines become more available, it will be crucial to have the right diagnostic tools to ensure appropriate treatment.”

 

 


Baloxavir showed broad-spectrum in vitro replication inhibition of 4 types of influenza viruses

Mishin VP, Patel MC, Chesnokov A, De La Cruz J, Nguyen HT, Lollis L, et al. Susceptibility of influenza A, B, C, and D viruses to baloxavir. Emerg Infect Dis. 2019 Oct [date cited]. https://doi.org/10.3201/eid2510.190607

“…….Baloxavir displayed broad antiviral activity against diverse influenza viruses, including all 4 types and animal-origin influenza A viruses with pandemic potential. Our findings suggest that baloxavir might offer the first therapeutic option against influenza C virus infections. Further studies are needed to provide comprehensive assessment of baloxavir susceptibility by using a large panel of representative influenza C viruses. Ongoing monitoring of baloxavir susceptibility of emerging avian and swine influenza A viruses with pandemic potential is needed to inform clinical management and public health preparedness efforts...…”


Since 2012, Middle East respiratory syndrome (MERS) coronavirus has infected 2,442 persons and killed 842 worldwide.

CDC

Donnelly CA, Malik MR, Elkholy A, Cauchemez S, Van Kerkhove MD. Worldwide reduction in MERS cases and deaths since 2016. Emerg Infect Dis. 2019 Sep [date cited]. https://doi.org/10.3201/eid2509.190143

An electron micrograph showing spherical particles within the cytoplasm of an infected cell

 


A systematic review of the peer-reviewed literature for human melioidosis cases between Jan 1, 1990, and Dec 31, 2015.

Lancet

Global burden of melioidosis in 2015: a systematic review and data synthesis

Published:July 05, 2019
“……2888 articles were screened, of which 475 eligible studies containing quantitative data were retained. Pneumonia, intra-abdominal abscess, and sepsis were the most common outcomes, with pneumonia occurring in 3633 (35·7%, 95% uncertainty interval [UI] 34·8–36·6) of 10 175 patients, intra-abdominal abscess in 1619 (18·3%, 17·5–19·1) of 8830 patients, and sepsis in 1526 (18·0%, 17·2–18·8) of 8469 patients. We estimate that in 2015, the global burden of melioidosis was 4·6 million DALYs (UI 3·2–6·6) or 84·3 per 100 000 people (57·5–120·0). Years of life lost accounted for 98·9% (UI 97·7–99·5) of the total DALYs, and years lived with disability accounted for 1·1% (0·5–2·3). …..”

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