FEMA

Situation

• Dorian is a dangerous Category 5 hurricane, capable of causing life threatening storm surge, extensive wind damage, and heavy rain from FL through eastern GA and coastal SC and NC • Although the exact NHC track forecast lies east of the Florida peninsula, a track closer to the coast or even a landfall remains a possibility late Monday through Tuesday night

Potential Impacts –Southeastern U.S.

• Heavy rainfall and life-threatening flash floods possible across coastal sections of the Southeast o Coastal Carolinas: 5-10 inches, isolated 15 inches o Atlantic coast from the FL Peninsula through GA: 2-4 inches, isolated 6 inches • Surf: Large swells will affect the southeastern U.S. coast during the next few days; likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions

Local Preparations/Response

• FL EOC: Full Activation o Governor declared a state of emergency; National Guard fully activated o Mandatory evacuation delayed until September 2 for Brevard and Martin counties o Voluntary evacuations for Glades, Hendry, Martin, Palm Beach, Osceola, and St. Lucie counties o Airports:  FL airports closed to commercial flights only: Vero Beach and Daytona Beach  Orlando-Melbourne International Airport will close at 6:00 p.m. September 2 o Ports: Miami, Key West, and Port Canaveral open with restrictions; all other ports open • Seminole Tribe of Florida EOC: Partial Activation; Tribal Chief declared state

HxC

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C2AiQI-gw20

HxC

“……The rebels demanded the withdrawal of Russian troops from the disputed nearby region of Chechnya. September 1 was the first day of a new school year for millions of students across Russia, a day of celebration in schools that both parents and students traditionally attend. Nearly 340 people, about half of them children, died in the ensuing three-day ordeal. ……700 more were wounded……”

CNN

Heading into the Labor Day holiday weekend in United States, citizens and government officials braced for a potent hurricane that has been intensifying in the tropical Atlantic Ocean. By the afternoon of August 30, 2019, Hurricane Dorian had reached category 3 intensity and was headed for the northern Bahamas and the east coast of Florida as a major hurricane, the first of the 2019 Atlantic season.

The photograph above was shot by an astronaut on the International Space Station at 11:12 a.m. Atlantic Standard Time (17:12 Universal Time) on August 29, 2019. At that time Dorian had maximum sustained winds of 85 miles (135 kilometers) per hour and a central pressure of 986 millibars, according to the National Hurricane Center. As of 2 p.m. AST (18:00 UT) on August 30, the center of the storm was about 445 miles (715 kilometers) east of the northwestern Bahamas and 625 miles (1005 kilometers) east of West Palm Beach, Florida. Sustained winds were measured at 115 mph (185 kmph) and the minimum central pressure was 970 millibars.

A key factor in the development of a hurricane is the warmth of the ocean surface. Warm water is the fuel that leads a storm to intensify, as heat and moisture move from the ocean to the atmosphere. This map above shows sea surface temperatures (SSTs) in the western Atlantic as of August 28, as well as population density in the U.S. Southeast and several Caribbean islands. Meteorologists generally agree that SSTs should be above 27.8°Celsius (82°Fahrenheit) to sustain and intensify hurricanes (although there are some exceptions).

The data for the map come from the MUR Global Foundation Sea Surface Temperature Analysis, produced at NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory. It is based on observations from several satellite instruments, including the NASA Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer-EOS (AMSRE), the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) on the NASA Aqua and Terra platforms, the U.S. Navy microwave WindSat radiometer, the Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer (AVHRR) on several NOAA satellites, and on in situ SST observations from NOAA. Population data come from the Socioeconomic Data and Applications Center (SEDAC).

NHC Forecasters reported on August 30: “Life-threatening storm surge and devastating hurricane-force winds are likely in portions of the northwestern Bahamas, where a hurricane watch is in effect…A prolonged period of storm surge, high winds and rainfall is likely in portions of Florida into next week, including the possibility of hurricane-force winds over inland portions of the Florida peninsula.”

NASA Earth Observatory images by Joshua Stevens and Lauren Dauphin, using MUR Global Foundation Sea Surface Temperature Analysis data from the Physical Oceanography Distributed Active Archive Center (PODAAC) at NASA/JPL, and population data from the Socioeconomic Data and Applications Center (SEDAC). Astronaut photograph ISS060-E-47508 was acquired on August 29, 2019, with a Nikon D5 digital camera using a 28 millimeter lens and is provided by the ISS Crew Earth Observations Facility and the Earth Science and Remote Sensing Unit, Johnson Space Center. The image was taken by a member of the Expedition 60 crew. The image has been cropped and enhanced to improve contrast, and lens artifacts have been removed. Story by Michael Carlowicz.

WHO

Overview

After its 3-year study of trends and future projections for the factors and determinants that underpin malaria, the Strategic Advisory Group on Malaria Eradication (SAGme) reaffirms that eradication is a goal worth pursuing, likely to save millions of lives and billions of dollars. However, with our current tools, we are far from a malaria-free world.

In its executive summary, SAGme calls for more investment in research and development of new tools and approaches to fight malaria, stronger universal health coverage so that everyone can access the services they need, and better surveillance to guide a more targeted malaria response.