Archive for the ‘Tropical storms’ Category
Hurricane Nate is moving rapidly inland after making landfall Saturday evening. Nate will bring strong winds, heavy rain, and storm surge to the central Gulf Coast region this weekend. Heavy rain will also spread much farther northeastward.
Sunday, October 8th, 2017https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j3_1-kCSkuE
Hurricane Nate is moving rapidly inland after making landfall Saturday evening. Nate will bring strong winds, heavy rain, and storm surge to the central Gulf Coast region this weekend. Heavy rain will also spread much farther northeastward.
Sunday, October 8th, 2017000
WTNT31 KNHC 072352
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
Hurricane Nate Intermediate Advisory Number 14A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL162017
700 PM CDT Sat Oct 07 2017
…NATE MAKES LANDFALL NEAR THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER…
SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT…0000 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…29.0N 89.2W
ABOUT 10 MI…15 KM SW OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
ABOUT 100 MI…160 KM S OF BILOXI MISSISSIPPI
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…85 MPH…140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…N OR 350 DEGREES AT 20 MPH…31 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…982 MB…29.00 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
The Hurricane Warning for Metropolitan New Orleans and Lake
Pontchartrain has been changed to a Tropical Storm Warning. The
Hurricane Watch for Lake Maurepas has been discontinued.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for…
* Grand Isle Louisiana to the Alabama/Florida border
A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for…
* Grand Isle Louisiana to the Okaloosa/Walton County Line Florida
* Northern and western shores of Lake Pontchartrain
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* Metropolitan New Orleans and Lake Pontchartrain
* Lake Maurepas
* West of Grand Isle to Morgan City Louisiana
* East of the Alabama/Florida border to Indian Pass Florida
A Hurricane Watch is in effect for…
* East of the Alabama/Florida border to the Okaloosa/Walton County Line
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UzKr0Yk1taQ
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
At 700 PM CDT (0000 UTC), NOAA Doppler radar data indicate that the
center of Hurricane Nate is now making landfall at the mouth of the
Mississippi River, near latitude 29.0 North, longitude 89.2 West.
Nate is now moving toward the north and a little slower, near 20 mph
(31 km/h). A turn toward the north-northeast is expected later
tonight, followed by a motion toward the northeast on Sunday. On
the forecast track, the center of Nate will make a second landfall
along the coast of Mississippi tonight. After landfall, the center
of Nate is expected to pass over portions of Mississippi, Alabama,
and Tennessee late tonight through Sunday night.
Aircraft reconnaissance data and Doppler radar velocity data
indicate that maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 85 mph
(140 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening now appears unlikely
before Nate’s center reaches the Mississippi coast during the next
few hours. Rapid weakening is expected after landfall, with Nate
becoming a tropical depression by Sunday night.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 40 miles (65 km) from
the center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125
miles (205 km) mainly to the east of the center. A sustained wind
of 54 mph (87 km/h) and a gust to 58 mph (94 km/h) were recently
reported by NOAA buoy 42040 to the east of the mouth of the
Mississippi River.
The minimum central pressure based on aircraft data is 982 mb (29.00
inches).
A water level of 2.9 ft above Mean Higher High Water (MHHW) was
recently reported by a National Ocean Service gauge at Pilots
Station East, Southwest Pass, Louisiana.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected in the hurricane warning
area in the next few hours, with tropical storm conditions already
spreading onshore. Tropical storm conditions are expected in the
tropical storm warning area tonight and Sunday morning. Hurricane
conditions are possible in the hurricane watch area tonight.
STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the tide
will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising
waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water is expected to
reach the following heights above ground if the peak surge occurs at
the time of high tide…
Mouth of the Mississippi River to the Mississippi/Alabama border…7
to 11 ft
Mississippi/Alabama border to the Alabama/Florida border, including
Mobile Bay…6 to 9 ft
Alabama/Florida border to the Okaloosa/Walton County Line…4 to 6
ft
Grand Isle, Louisiana to the mouth of the Mississippi River…2 to
4 ft
Okaloosa/Walton County Line to Indian Pass, Florida…2 to 3 ft
Indian Pass to Crystal River, Florida…1 to 3 ft
Morgan City, Louisiana to Grand Isle…1 to 2 ft
The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to
the east of the landfall location, where the surge will be
accompanied by large and destructive waves. Surge-related
flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal
cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For information
specific to your area, please see products issued by your local
National Weather Service forecast office.
RAINFALL: Nate is expected to produce the following rain
accumulations through Monday:
Western Cuba: 2 to 4 inches, max 6 inches.
East of the Mississippi River
from the central Gulf Coast into the
Deep South, eastern Tennessee Valley, and southern Appalachians:
3 to 6 inches, max 10 inches.
Across the Ohio Valley into the central Appalachians:
2 to 5 inches, max 7 inches.
TORNADOES: A few tornadoes are possible across parts of Alabama, the
western Florida Panhandle, western Georgia, and southern Mississippi
through Sunday afternoon.
SURF: Swells generated by Nate will affect land areas around the
Gulf of Mexico during the next day or so. These swells are likely
to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please
consult products from your local weather office.
Tropical Storm Nate strengthened into a hurricane on Friday night and could hit the Gulf Coast late Saturday or early Sunday.
Saturday, October 7th, 2017Tropical Storm Nate killed at least 22 people in Central America on Thursday
Friday, October 6th, 2017Nate threatens down south
Friday, October 6th, 2017000
WTNT31 KNHC 052332
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Nate Intermediate Advisory Number 6A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL162017
800 PM EDT Thu Oct 05 2017
…NATE’S CENTER STILL OVER EASTERN HONDURAS…
…EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA TONIGHT…
SUMMARY OF 800 PM EDT…0000 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…15.3N 84.5W
ABOUT 45 MI…75 KM W OF PUERTO LEMPIRA HONDURAS
ABOUT 390 MI…630 KM SSE OF COZUMEL MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…40 MPH…65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 10 MPH…17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1000 MB…29.53 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
None.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* Sandy Bay Sirpi Nicaragua to Punta Castilla Honduras
* Punta Herrero to Rio Lagartos Mexico
A Hurricane Watch is in effect for…
* Punta Herrero to Rio Lagartos Mexico
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.
A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area.
Interests elsewhere in Honduras, the Bay Islands, western Cuba, the
Yucatan Peninsula, and the northern coast of the Gulf of Mexico
should monitor the progress of Nate. A Hurricane Watch and a Storm
Surge Watch will likely be required for portions of the northern
Gulf Coast tonight or Friday morning.
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products
issued by your national meteorological service.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
At 800 PM EDT (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Nate was
located inland over eastern Honduras near latitude 15.3 North,
longitude 84.5 West. Nate is moving toward the north-northwest near
10 mph (17 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue during the
next couple of days with a significant increase in forward speed.
On the forecast track, the center of Nate will continue to move over
eastern Honduras this evening and over the northwestern Caribbean
Sea tonight and Friday. The center is then expected to move near or
over the northeastern part of the Yucatan Peninsula and the adjacent
islands late Friday or Friday night, and move into the Gulf of
Mexico on Saturday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Strengthening is likely once the center moves over the northwestern
Caribbean Sea tonight and Friday, and Nate could be near hurricane
strength as the center approaches the Yucatan Peninsula.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 50 miles (85 km)
mainly to the northeast of the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
RAINFALL: Nate is expected to produce the following rain
accumulations into Saturday:
Southern Honduras and western Nicaragua: 6 to 10 inches, max 20
inches
Eastern El Salvador and northern Costa Rica: 3 to 6 inches, max 10
inches
Northern Honduras/Nicaragua, eastern Yucatan/Belize and western
Cuba: 2 to 4 inches, max 8 inches
Central Honduras: 2 to 4 inches
Cayman Islands and Jamaica: 1 to 2 inches
Heavy rainfall will occur over a wide area, including locations well
away from the center along the Pacific coast of Central America.
Rainfall across all of these areas may produce life-threatening
flash floods and mudslides.
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within portions of the
warning area in Nicaragua and Honduras tonight. Hurricane
conditions are possible within the hurricane watch area in Mexico
Friday night, with tropical storm conditions expected by late
Friday.
STORM SURGE: A storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 1
to 3 feet above normal tide levels along the immediate coast in
areas of onshore winds on the Yucatan Peninsula and the adjacent
islands. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and
destructive waves.
SURF: Swells generated by Nate are affecting portions of the coast
of Nicaragua, and will begin to affect other land areas around the
northwestern Caribbean during the next day or two. These swells are
likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
Please consult products from your local weather office.
NEXT ADVISORY
————-
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM EDT.
10/2/1963: Hurricane Flora crashes into Haiti and the rest of the Caribbean killing thousands.
Monday, October 2nd, 2017NYC is home to 700,000 Puerto Ricans & what are they doing about Puerto Rico?
Thursday, September 28th, 2017“…..Gov. Andrew M. Cuomo announced the launch of the Empire State Relief and Recovery Effort for Puerto Rico, and Mayor Bill de Blasio sent emergency workers to the island to provide aid.
There are now more than 140 city personnel on the ground in Puerto Rico.
Among them: New York Task Force One, our urban search and rescue team; workers from the city’s Buildings Department who have expertise in inspections; members of our Police and Fire Departments who specialize in structural collapses and water rescues; and members of both departments’ Hispanic societies…..”