FEMA

Situation

Hurricane Dorian continues to move along the Southeast US coast and is expected to approach South Carolina today. Life-threatening storm surge and dangerous winds expected along portions of the coasts of GA, SC, and NC and portions of southeast VA and the southern Chesapeake Bay, regardless of the exact track of Dorian’s center.

Hurricane Dorian (CAT 3) (Advisory #48A as of 5:00 a.m. EDT)

• 70 miles SSE of Charleston, SC

• Maximum sustained winds 115 mph; moving N at 8 mph

• Hurricane-force winds extend 60 miles and tropical storm-force winds extend 195 miles

Lifeline All lifelines remain GREEN

Safety and Security • Mandatory evacuations in effect in FL (1 county); SC (8 counties) and NC (6 counties)

Food, Water, Shelter • FEMA Commodities have arrived at ISBs (NBEOC) •

Region IV: 113 (-26) shelters with 6.6k (-2.7k) occupants (FL: 32/1816; GA: 13/2,038; SC: 33/2015; NC: 35/792) (ESF-6 as of 6:00 a.m. EDT) • 1 Mega shelter open in Durham, NC with 1.5k capacity (ESF-6 as of 4 Sept 11:00 a.m. EDT)

Energy • SC: 190K reported without power (Eagle- I as of 7:30 a.m.EDT);   Fuel industry partners affirm fuel supplies and distribution remain stable (NBEOC)

Transportation • Airports: SC: Charleston International Airport, Florence Regional Airport, and regional/county airports closed; NC: Wilmington International Airport closed (FAA as of 6:00 a.m.) • Ports: Canaveral and West Palm Beach re-opened with restrictions; GA: Savanah and Brunswick closed; SC: Charleston closed; NC: Wilmington and Morehead City closed

Local Preparations/Response • FL, GA, SC, NC, and Seminole Tribe of Florida EOCs at Full Activation; VA EOC at Partial Activation • TN, MS EOCs at Monitoring • Governors declared a State of Emergency for all counties in FL, NC, VA, STOF and for the coastal counties of GA and SC
Federal Preparations/Response • NRCC at Level I, 24/7 with all LNOs and ESFs  • Region III RWC at Enhanced Watch; RRCC Level II (day shift only) o LNO deployed to VA • Region IV RRCC at Level I, 24/7 o LNOs deployed to FL, STOF, GA, SC, and NC • IMAT Teams deployed: o National IMAT East: FL o Region III IMAT: VA EOC o Region IV IMAT-1: FL; IMAT-2: GA o Region VII IMAT: SC o Region VIII IMAT: NC • ISB Teams deployed to AL, GA, NC, and SC o Charlie Team at Fort A.P. Hill, VA

NHC

SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT…0900 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…29.2N 79.5W
ABOUT 90 MI…145 KM E OF DAYTONA BEACH FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…105 MPH…165 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 8 MPH…13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…963 MB…28.44 INCHES

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 500 AM EDT (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Dorian was located
near latitude 29.2 North, longitude 79.5 West.  Dorian is moving
toward the north-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h), and a northwest or
north-northwest motion is expected through this morning.  A turn
toward the north is forecast by this evening, followed by a turn
toward the north-northeast on Thursday morning.  On this track, the
core of Hurricane Dorian will move dangerously close to the Florida
east coast and the Georgia coast through tonight.  The center of
Dorian is forecast to move near or over the coast of South Carolina
and North Carolina Thursday through Friday morning.

Maximum sustained winds are near 105 mph (165 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Some weakening is expected during the next couple of days,
and Dorian is expected to remain a powerful hurricane during the
next few days.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the
center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175
miles (280 km).

The minimum central pressure reported by an Air Force Reserve Unit
Hurricane Hunter aircraft is 963 mb (28.44 inches).

FEMA

Situation Projected Impacts:

• Wind: hurricane conditions are expected within the hurricane warning area in Florida by today; hurricane conditions are possible in the hurricane watch area beginning Wednesday

• 4-7 feet of Storm Surge north of Deerfield Beach to Lantana, FL 2-4 feet; water levels could begin to rise well in advance of the arrival of strong winds and will be accompanied by large and destructive waves

• Rainfall accumulations: coastal Carolinas 5-10 inches, isolated 15 inches; Atlantic coast from the Florida peninsula through Georgia 4 – 8 inches, isolated 10 inches; may cause life-threatening flash floods

• Surf: large swells are affecting the Florida east coast and will spread northward along the southeastern U.S. coast during the next few days; likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions

• Tornadoes: isolated tornadoes are possible through Tuesday along the eastern coast of Florida

Watches/Warnings:

• Storm Surge Warning for Lantana to Altamaha Sound

• Storm Surge Watch from north of Deerfield Beach to south of Lantana; Altamaha Sound to South Santee River

• Hurricane Warning for Jupiter Inlet to Ponte Vedra Beach

• Hurricane Watch from north of Deerfield Beach to Jupiter Inlet; north of Ponte Vedra Beach to South Santee River

• Tropical Storm Warning for north of Deerfield Beach to Jupiter Inlet

• Tropical Storm Watch for north of Golden Beach to Deerfield Beach and for Lake Okeechobee

Lifeline All lifelines remain GREEN

Safety and Security

• FL: Mandatory evacuations for 11 counties; voluntary evacuations 6 counties

• GA: Mandatory evacuations for 6 counties • SC: Mandatory evacuations for 8 counties

• NC: Mandatory evacuations for 2 counties

Food, Water, Shelter  *

• FL: 52 shelters open with 6,271 occupants

• GA: 10 shelters open with 283 occupants

• SC : 19 shelters open with 290 occupants

Health and Medical

FL: Hospital Evacuation: (3 in progress, 3 complete, 3 planned); Nursing Home (5 in progress, 11 completed, 3 planned); Health Care Facilities (24 in progress, 20 completed, 24 planned

Energy

• FL: retail fuel availability continues to improve as state expedites resupply shipments

Transportation • Airports: FL: Vero Beach Regional, Palm Beach International, Ft. LauderdaleHollywood International and Orlando-Melbourne International closed

• Ports: FL: Miami, Everglades, West Palm, Jacksonville, and Canaveral closed; Key West, and Fernandina open with restrictions

• Train: Amtrak will not operate south of VA between Sept 3-5

• GA DOT will begin contraflow operations for I-16 and I-75

Local Preparations/Response

• FL, GA, SC, NC, and Seminole Tribe of Florida EOCs at Full Activation

• TN, MS and VA EOCs at Monitoring

• NC Governor requested an Emergency Declaration on September 2

• VA Governor declared a state of emergency on September 2

Federal Preparations/Response

• FEMA-3421-EM-SC approved September 1, 2019

• FEMA-3422-EM-GA approved September 1, 2019

• FEMA-3420-EM-STOF approved August 31, 2019

• FEMA-3419-EM-FL approved August 30, 2019

• NRCC at Level I, 24/7 with all LNOs and all ESFs

• Region IV RRCC at Level I, 24/7

• Region III RWC at Enhanced watch; RRCC activated to Level II, day shift only

• IMAT Teams deployed: o National IMAT East deployed to FL o Region III IMAT will re-deploy from WV to VA EOC at 9:00 a.m. today o Region IV IMAT-1 to FL; IMAT-2 to GA o Region VII IMAT to SC o Region VIII IMAT to deployed to NC

• Region IV LNOs deployed to FL, GA, Seminole Tribe of Florida, SC and NC • Region III LNO deployed to VA • ISB Teams deployed to AL, GA, NC and SC • ISB Charlie Team restaging to Fort A.P. Hill, VA; ISB established at Fort Bragg, NC

Surface Wind / Pressure

Steering Wind & Mean RH

“…….As it pummeled islands in the Bahamas, the hurricane left behind “catastrophic damage,” the Hope Town Volunteer Fire & Rescue said on Facebook. Damage was reported in Elbow Cay, Man-o-War and Marsh Harbour in the Abaco Islands, where buildings had been destroyed and partially submerged with water flooding all around them.

The Abaco Islands are a group of islands and barrier cays in the northern Bahamas, east of southern Florida. Dorian made landfall there as a Category 5 hurricane just after noon Sunday.